Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.173672 0.195181 0.217695 0.242964 0.270478 0.299473 0.332282
2025-02-23 0.149830 0.179731 0.212585 0.251169 0.295043 0.343181 0.399786
2025-03-02 0.126752 0.161234 0.200785 0.249096 0.306086 0.370741 0.449181
2025-03-09 0.110093 0.147716 0.192569 0.249283 0.318338 0.398930 0.499289
2025-03-16 0.096026 0.135485 0.184251 0.247892 0.327617 0.423022 0.544558
2025-03-23 0.087405 0.128988 0.182041 0.253205 0.344550 0.456198 0.601148
2025-03-30 0.078087 0.120497 0.176323 0.253222 0.354250 0.480221 0.646685
2025-04-06 0.070025 0.112818 0.170861 0.252841 0.362896 0.502662 0.690357
2025-04-13 0.063046 0.105920 0.165770 0.252335 0.370920 0.524100 0.732874
2025-04-20 0.057828 0.101036 0.162984 0.254549 0.382301 0.549850 0.781230
2025-04-27 0.054542 0.098708 0.163551 0.261244 0.399732 0.583762 0.840779
2025-05-04 0.050239 0.094381 0.160829 0.262947 0.410105 0.608294 0.888268
2025-05-11 0.046706 0.091127 0.159694 0.267167 0.424556 0.639314 0.946072
2025-05-18 0.044605 0.090021 0.161703 0.276015 0.445782 0.680055 1.017880
2025-05-25 0.040190 0.084574 0.156561 0.273788 0.450833 0.698451 1.059549
2025-06-01 0.036743 0.080458 0.153203 0.273993 0.459262 0.721581 1.108038
2025-06-08 0.033311 0.076009 0.148957 0.272496 0.464949 0.740789 1.151291
2025-06-15 0.031527 0.074430 0.149329 0.278218 0.481528 0.775787 1.217227
2025-06-22 0.028913 0.070995 0.146293 0.278237 0.489302 0.798127 1.265558
2025-06-29 0.026473 0.067636 0.143137 0.277827 0.496269 0.819300 1.312473
2025-07-06 0.024235 0.064445 0.140032 0.277282 0.502888 0.839965 1.358894
2025-07-13 0.022606 0.062347 0.138740 0.279666 0.514100 0.867572 1.415747
2025-07-20 0.021740 0.061809 0.140262 0.286873 0.533141 0.907198 1.490732